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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.47+1.70vs Predicted
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2George Washington University-0.28+0.38vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.29+0.84vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-2.58+1.71vs Predicted
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5Washington College-1.69-0.64vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.67-1.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.67-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Princeton University-0.4726.9%1st Place
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2.38George Washington University-0.2833.3%1st Place
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3.84University of Delaware-1.2911.8%1st Place
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5.71Monmouth University-2.583.4%1st Place
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4.36Washington College-1.699.2%1st Place
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4.5Rutgers University-1.678.0%1st Place
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4.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.677.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 26.9% | 25.9% | 19.3% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Colin Bohula | 33.3% | 27.4% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Seton Dill | 11.8% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 6.6% |
| Julia Marich | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 49.8% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 13.8% |
| Karolina Debniak | 8.0% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 14.2% |
| Finnegan McCue | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.