Race 2A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Carmen Cowles 14.5% 14.8% 14.7% 9.8% 11.1% 10.9% 7.1% 5.7% 4.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Emily Bornarth 10.5% 11.7% 10.4% 13.0% 9.3% 8.8% 9.0% 8.7% 5.4% 5.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9%
Emma Shakespeare 3.0% 2.9% 3.4% 4.4% 4.7% 5.7% 6.4% 6.6% 8.4% 10.3% 12.4% 14.3% 17.5%
Dana Haig 13.2% 13.6% 12.7% 12.6% 9.7% 8.6% 7.6% 6.9% 6.5% 5.1% 1.5% 1.5% 0.5%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 6.2% 4.8% 6.8% 5.2% 7.0% 7.2% 7.9% 6.4% 10.1% 10.4% 9.9% 10.3% 7.8%
Katherine Bennett 6.2% 6.2% 7.0% 8.3% 5.9% 7.5% 8.7% 10.1% 9.4% 7.9% 9.3% 8.2% 5.3%
Caroline Bayless 12.4% 10.6% 9.8% 9.8% 10.1% 9.9% 8.8% 8.8% 5.5% 6.3% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.8% 5.2% 4.8% 4.5% 6.8% 6.4% 6.5% 8.8% 9.1% 9.9% 10.5% 10.9% 11.8%
Brooke Shachoy 8.9% 8.3% 10.2% 8.4% 9.0% 9.2% 8.4% 9.1% 8.0% 6.8% 5.4% 5.5% 2.8%
Allison Marozza 5.0% 3.3% 3.9% 5.0% 4.9% 4.4% 6.9% 8.2% 8.4% 9.3% 10.6% 12.5% 17.6%
Alexandra Talbot 3.8% 3.5% 4.1% 5.4% 5.7% 6.0% 6.7% 6.7% 8.6% 9.9% 11.1% 13.2% 15.3%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.3% 3.9% 3.1% 4.6% 5.8% 6.2% 6.2% 5.6% 8.0% 8.8% 12.6% 14.3% 17.6%
Marbella Marlo 8.2% 11.2% 9.1% 9.0% 10.0% 9.2% 9.8% 8.4% 7.7% 6.7% 6.0% 3.3% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.