Race 3A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Carmen Cowles 15.6% 13.4% 13.5% 11.1% 12.1% 7.6% 9.9% 6.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Katherine Bennett 5.5% 6.1% 5.7% 6.8% 7.7% 7.8% 10.4% 7.2% 9.3% 11.2% 7.9% 8.6% 5.8%
Alexandra Talbot 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 4.9% 5.7% 5.1% 6.3% 7.0% 8.2% 9.7% 13.2% 13.3% 17.0%
Dana Haig 13.5% 13.3% 13.4% 10.6% 9.8% 9.0% 8.9% 6.4% 6.2% 4.6% 3.2% 0.7% 0.4%
Brooke Shachoy 9.3% 8.5% 11.2% 9.7% 8.7% 9.1% 7.8% 9.5% 8.5% 7.3% 4.9% 4.0% 1.5%
Caroline Bayless 11.4% 11.3% 9.4% 12.0% 9.4% 10.1% 9.5% 6.9% 6.1% 5.0% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9%
AnaLucia Clarkson 4.3% 5.1% 3.9% 4.8% 5.2% 5.8% 4.9% 7.2% 9.1% 9.4% 11.3% 14.4% 14.6%
Marbella Marlo 9.1% 10.2% 10.3% 9.5% 8.7% 10.2% 9.7% 9.8% 7.5% 5.9% 4.2% 3.6% 1.3%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 5.1% 4.4% 5.2% 5.8% 7.1% 6.6% 6.6% 10.8% 7.6% 10.8% 10.5% 9.1% 10.4%
Emma Shakespeare 4.3% 3.0% 4.1% 3.6% 4.4% 6.7% 6.1% 7.3% 8.1% 9.3% 10.0% 14.0% 19.1%
Emily Bornarth 11.3% 13.0% 12.9% 11.1% 10.3% 9.9% 6.8% 7.5% 6.8% 4.2% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.3% 4.8% 3.8% 5.5% 5.7% 6.4% 7.3% 7.4% 10.2% 9.0% 12.6% 11.8% 11.2%
Allison Marozza 3.2% 3.6% 3.4% 4.6% 5.2% 5.7% 5.8% 7.0% 8.7% 10.1% 11.5% 14.7% 16.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.