Race 5A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Shachoy 9.1% 7.7% 9.7% 10.2% 8.4% 10.1% 9.0% 6.6% 9.3% 7.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.9%
Emma Shakespeare 3.9% 3.4% 3.0% 4.8% 5.0% 5.5% 5.0% 7.2% 7.7% 9.8% 11.8% 13.1% 19.8%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.5% 2.9% 3.9% 5.1% 5.7% 5.0% 7.6% 7.5% 8.0% 8.3% 11.9% 15.9% 14.7%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 4.2% 5.4% 5.3% 7.3% 6.0% 6.0% 8.4% 7.7% 9.4% 10.7% 11.8% 9.5% 8.3%
Alexandra Talbot 4.1% 3.6% 4.2% 3.6% 6.5% 6.1% 5.0% 7.3% 7.3% 9.6% 11.2% 14.7% 16.8%
Marbella Marlo 10.6% 10.1% 9.7% 9.6% 8.5% 9.9% 9.4% 8.6% 7.6% 6.5% 4.6% 3.0% 1.9%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.7% 4.6% 5.7% 4.6% 7.0% 5.4% 8.1% 7.0% 9.2% 9.3% 11.1% 11.3% 11.0%
Dana Haig 13.8% 13.9% 12.2% 11.1% 9.7% 10.7% 8.4% 7.7% 5.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4%
Carmen Cowles 13.9% 16.3% 13.2% 9.9% 12.2% 8.4% 8.0% 6.3% 4.4% 3.9% 1.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Emily Bornarth 12.2% 11.5% 11.1% 11.6% 9.4% 9.6% 7.0% 8.0% 6.0% 6.2% 3.3% 3.1% 1.0%
Katherine Bennett 5.8% 6.1% 7.6% 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 8.9% 9.7% 9.7% 8.9% 8.3% 7.4% 5.3%
Caroline Bayless 10.0% 11.2% 10.7% 10.1% 9.2% 9.9% 9.2% 9.1% 7.4% 5.2% 4.5% 2.7% 0.8%
Allison Marozza 3.2% 3.3% 3.7% 4.6% 5.0% 6.0% 6.0% 7.3% 9.0% 9.5% 11.1% 13.6% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.