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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.47+1.38vs Predicted
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2George Washington University-0.28+0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.05+1.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.67-0.24vs Predicted
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5Washington College-1.69-1.27vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.58-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Princeton University-0.4728.1%1st Place
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2.04George Washington University-0.2841.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Delaware-2.055.9%1st Place
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3.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.6710.7%1st Place
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3.73Washington College-1.6910.4%1st Place
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4.87Monmouth University-2.583.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 28.1% | 32.1% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Colin Bohula | 41.1% | 28.9% | 18.1% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Brendan van Riper | 5.9% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 26.1% | 23.8% |
| Finnegan McCue | 10.7% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 22.5% | 22.9% | 13.8% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 10.4% | 11.6% | 20.2% | 22.9% | 22.0% | 12.9% |
| Julia Marich | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.