Race 7A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Bornarth 10.9% 11.5% 12.3% 10.2% 10.0% 10.2% 8.8% 6.7% 6.2% 6.0% 4.5% 2.3% 0.4%
Carmen Cowles 14.9% 14.5% 13.5% 13.4% 9.5% 8.8% 7.3% 6.6% 5.5% 2.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Marbella Marlo 8.8% 9.2% 11.5% 8.8% 9.4% 8.9% 9.1% 10.1% 7.7% 7.2% 4.6% 3.0% 1.7%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 4.4% 5.2% 6.0% 4.8% 7.3% 8.0% 7.6% 7.7% 10.6% 9.0% 11.5% 9.2% 8.7%
Dana Haig 15.3% 13.2% 12.4% 10.9% 9.9% 9.0% 8.9% 8.2% 3.8% 4.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
Alexandra Talbot 3.7% 4.1% 4.0% 4.2% 5.1% 5.9% 5.7% 7.0% 7.7% 11.1% 10.1% 16.0% 15.4%
Caroline Bayless 12.9% 10.3% 11.3% 9.2% 8.5% 11.2% 7.6% 8.7% 7.3% 4.8% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0%
Emma Shakespeare 3.2% 4.8% 2.6% 4.5% 4.9% 5.2% 7.1% 6.6% 8.5% 8.9% 12.5% 13.8% 17.4%
Brooke Shachoy 9.5% 7.6% 7.5% 12.2% 8.9% 8.0% 8.8% 8.8% 8.1% 8.0% 5.3% 4.3% 3.0%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.0% 5.3% 4.4% 4.5% 6.5% 7.3% 7.9% 7.8% 8.0% 9.3% 10.7% 12.3% 11.0%
Katherine Bennett 5.8% 6.7% 7.7% 6.5% 8.9% 7.5% 8.9% 9.1% 9.8% 9.2% 8.1% 7.0% 4.8%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.6% 4.4% 3.4% 4.8% 6.1% 5.4% 5.5% 7.2% 6.5% 10.3% 12.7% 13.9% 17.2%
Allison Marozza 3.0% 3.2% 3.4% 6.0% 5.0% 4.6% 6.8% 5.5% 10.3% 9.4% 10.9% 13.4% 18.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.