Race 8A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caroline Bayless 11.3% 9.7% 11.6% 10.8% 8.6% 9.6% 9.4% 8.5% 6.9% 5.6% 4.3% 2.8% 0.9%
Allison Marozza 3.8% 4.1% 3.4% 5.0% 6.1% 5.0% 5.9% 6.6% 8.2% 11.6% 9.6% 13.4% 17.3%
Emily Bornarth 10.9% 11.5% 10.9% 8.9% 9.9% 9.5% 12.0% 7.9% 5.5% 5.4% 4.6% 2.1% 0.9%
Carmen Cowles 15.0% 15.0% 13.9% 9.7% 10.4% 10.0% 7.3% 7.0% 5.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.7%
AnaLucia Clarkson 4.3% 3.9% 4.7% 4.7% 4.8% 6.3% 6.7% 6.3% 8.1% 10.0% 11.9% 13.1% 15.2%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 5.9% 4.8% 4.7% 6.7% 7.5% 7.0% 7.4% 9.3% 9.1% 9.3% 10.2% 8.8% 9.3%
Emma Shakespeare 3.9% 4.6% 4.2% 3.6% 5.5% 5.2% 4.8% 7.1% 8.6% 9.7% 10.9% 13.7% 18.2%
Alexandra Talbot 3.4% 4.0% 4.3% 4.5% 4.2% 6.4% 4.3% 8.7% 8.9% 9.0% 12.1% 13.1% 17.1%
Dana Haig 12.7% 13.0% 12.9% 12.6% 9.1% 8.2% 10.1% 6.8% 5.2% 4.8% 2.3% 1.8% 0.5%
Brooke Shachoy 10.2% 8.0% 8.0% 10.3% 10.6% 8.4% 7.6% 7.7% 8.7% 6.9% 6.1% 5.3% 2.2%
Marbella Marlo 10.1% 11.5% 9.6% 9.9% 9.7% 10.5% 8.4% 8.3% 7.4% 6.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.7%
Katherine Bennett 5.1% 5.6% 7.1% 7.4% 7.1% 7.8% 8.3% 8.5% 8.5% 9.3% 10.5% 8.8% 6.0%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.4% 4.3% 4.7% 5.9% 6.5% 6.1% 7.8% 7.3% 9.1% 9.1% 11.7% 14.1% 10.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.