Race 9A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marbella Marlo 9.0% 9.4% 11.2% 10.2% 9.0% 8.9% 10.0% 7.3% 8.7% 6.4% 4.6% 3.3% 2.0%
Carmen Cowles 15.0% 14.4% 12.7% 12.4% 12.2% 8.7% 7.5% 6.2% 5.3% 2.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.7%
Katherine Bennett 4.9% 6.6% 6.2% 7.0% 8.4% 8.1% 8.1% 7.3% 9.3% 10.8% 8.8% 8.7% 5.8%
Allison Marozza 3.3% 3.2% 4.6% 4.6% 6.3% 4.1% 7.0% 8.3% 7.7% 9.1% 11.9% 14.0% 15.9%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 5.4% 5.8% 4.8% 7.8% 6.6% 6.4% 6.7% 8.7% 8.4% 11.1% 10.0% 9.3% 9.0%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.2% 4.4% 5.1% 5.4% 5.4% 7.4% 6.7% 8.5% 9.3% 10.5% 11.1% 10.0% 11.0%
Emma Shakespeare 4.7% 3.4% 4.4% 4.1% 5.0% 5.3% 5.2% 7.3% 8.1% 9.1% 12.3% 14.2% 16.9%
Alexandra Talbot 3.7% 4.3% 3.4% 4.3% 4.7% 5.1% 6.4% 7.4% 9.6% 10.0% 11.4% 13.2% 16.5%
Caroline Bayless 11.0% 10.6% 10.0% 11.2% 7.2% 11.0% 8.7% 9.5% 6.8% 5.0% 4.4% 3.1% 1.5%
Brooke Shachoy 10.3% 8.7% 9.0% 9.0% 10.1% 8.8% 7.7% 8.0% 8.3% 7.2% 5.7% 4.8% 2.4%
Dana Haig 13.7% 15.2% 14.0% 10.6% 9.3% 10.0% 7.5% 7.1% 5.3% 3.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.4%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.2% 4.3% 2.9% 3.5% 5.7% 6.3% 7.7% 6.9% 5.9% 9.6% 12.0% 15.0% 17.0%
Emily Bornarth 10.6% 9.7% 11.7% 9.9% 10.1% 9.9% 10.8% 7.5% 7.3% 5.5% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.