Race 10A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caroline Bayless 10.9% 10.8% 11.2% 10.6% 9.0% 9.9% 8.7% 7.9% 6.6% 6.0% 4.7% 2.3% 1.4%
Carmen Cowles 14.6% 13.7% 14.9% 11.6% 10.6% 9.6% 7.6% 5.6% 5.0% 2.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Brooke Shachoy 7.8% 9.1% 9.2% 9.5% 9.4% 9.2% 8.9% 9.1% 8.0% 7.1% 6.0% 3.9% 2.8%
Dana Haig 13.4% 14.2% 11.6% 11.8% 10.1% 8.7% 9.5% 7.0% 5.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.6%
Marbella Marlo 10.2% 9.7% 11.2% 10.5% 10.0% 7.8% 7.7% 10.0% 7.1% 5.5% 5.5% 3.7% 1.1%
Emma Shakespeare 3.7% 4.0% 4.1% 3.2% 4.4% 6.5% 7.3% 5.2% 7.0% 10.9% 11.6% 14.4% 17.7%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 6.3% 5.4% 5.7% 6.7% 6.0% 6.1% 7.4% 8.4% 9.4% 9.3% 9.7% 11.6% 8.0%
Katherine Bennett 6.1% 6.4% 6.3% 6.8% 6.7% 8.1% 7.9% 9.8% 10.8% 9.2% 8.7% 7.6% 5.6%
Allison Marozza 3.7% 3.7% 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 4.8% 5.7% 6.9% 8.7% 10.2% 11.6% 12.7% 18.0%
AnaLucia Clarkson 4.4% 4.1% 3.5% 4.1% 5.1% 6.6% 6.7% 7.7% 7.4% 8.9% 11.2% 13.4% 16.9%
Alexandra Talbot 3.5% 2.8% 4.8% 5.3% 6.4% 5.4% 6.5% 7.0% 9.0% 9.8% 11.8% 13.1% 14.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.4% 4.8% 3.1% 5.1% 6.5% 7.7% 6.9% 7.2% 7.8% 10.7% 11.4% 12.9% 11.5%
Emily Bornarth 11.0% 11.3% 10.4% 10.0% 10.6% 9.6% 9.2% 8.2% 7.8% 4.8% 3.6% 2.2% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.