Race 12A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Carmen Cowles 15.1% 15.0% 12.9% 11.9% 10.6% 9.0% 7.8% 6.6% 4.7% 2.8% 1.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 4.9% 5.1% 5.0% 7.4% 5.4% 7.6% 7.2% 8.5% 8.1% 11.1% 10.8% 10.7% 8.2%
Dana Haig 13.2% 13.1% 12.4% 11.3% 9.9% 10.3% 9.1% 6.7% 5.6% 4.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.7%
Katherine Bennett 5.8% 6.4% 5.6% 8.0% 8.8% 7.0% 7.9% 8.3% 9.1% 9.4% 8.7% 8.7% 6.3%
Brooke Shachoy 9.0% 10.5% 9.6% 8.9% 9.0% 8.3% 7.9% 9.3% 8.5% 7.5% 5.4% 4.3% 1.8%
Marbella Marlo 10.9% 8.7% 9.7% 11.5% 10.3% 9.5% 7.9% 8.3% 6.7% 5.7% 5.9% 3.2% 1.7%
Emily Bornarth 12.5% 11.3% 10.4% 11.1% 9.8% 8.7% 9.6% 7.5% 6.7% 5.4% 4.0% 2.3% 0.7%
Alexandra Talbot 3.1% 4.7% 3.6% 3.8% 6.2% 5.7% 6.3% 6.8% 7.7% 10.4% 11.2% 14.3% 16.2%
Allison Marozza 4.2% 3.7% 4.2% 3.3% 6.1% 5.1% 5.2% 7.2% 8.3% 11.4% 10.3% 13.6% 17.4%
Emma Shakespeare 4.0% 3.4% 4.2% 4.2% 3.7% 5.9% 7.1% 6.9% 7.8% 8.7% 10.9% 14.2% 19.0%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.6% 3.7% 5.8% 4.8% 5.6% 4.8% 7.1% 7.8% 10.3% 8.8% 12.0% 11.6% 14.1%
Caroline Bayless 9.7% 10.6% 11.6% 8.8% 9.0% 11.3% 9.0% 7.8% 8.3% 4.9% 4.3% 3.1% 1.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.0% 3.8% 5.0% 5.0% 5.6% 6.8% 7.9% 8.3% 8.2% 9.7% 12.0% 11.7% 12.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.