Race 2B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Schmelz 8.7% 7.0% 9.6% 10.3% 8.4% 9.2% 9.7% 9.5% 9.4% 7.3% 6.2% 4.1% 0.6%
Chloe Holder 6.3% 7.9% 9.1% 6.0% 8.4% 9.9% 10.9% 8.4% 8.6% 9.0% 8.7% 4.8% 2.0%
Emma Cowles 18.1% 17.2% 14.4% 11.7% 11.9% 8.3% 6.7% 5.8% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Meredith Moran 11.0% 11.8% 9.5% 12.7% 11.0% 9.6% 9.1% 8.7% 6.0% 5.9% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
Madison Bashaw 9.8% 8.5% 9.9% 9.1% 10.2% 8.3% 9.3% 9.1% 10.2% 6.2% 4.6% 3.6% 1.2%
Christiana Scheibner 0.8% 2.4% 2.0% 3.0% 2.7% 3.1% 2.9% 4.5% 4.8% 10.1% 11.1% 20.9% 31.7%
Sydney Monahan 8.7% 6.5% 7.3% 8.6% 6.4% 9.0% 9.6% 9.0% 11.4% 9.2% 7.8% 3.9% 2.6%
Emma Snead 8.1% 8.5% 10.6% 7.5% 8.2% 10.3% 9.8% 10.3% 10.0% 8.0% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0%
Hailey Pemberton 1.9% 3.3% 2.3% 3.0% 3.7% 2.7% 4.5% 5.3% 5.9% 9.7% 14.7% 16.7% 26.3%
Blaire McCarthy 10.8% 9.6% 10.2% 10.5% 11.0% 9.8% 6.5% 8.8% 7.6% 6.8% 4.9% 3.1% 0.4%
Ashley Arruda 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 3.6% 3.1% 3.8% 4.7% 6.2% 7.1% 9.5% 15.0% 19.9% 21.5%
Cordelia Burn 11.5% 12.5% 9.8% 10.5% 10.9% 10.1% 9.5% 8.1% 7.2% 3.9% 3.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Grace Woodcock 2.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.5% 4.1% 5.9% 6.8% 6.3% 8.5% 12.8% 14.7% 16.7% 11.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.