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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.47+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-2.05+2.16vs Predicted
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3George Washington University-0.28-0.93vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.67-0.32vs Predicted
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5Washington College-1.69-1.12vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.58-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Princeton University-0.4729.8%1st Place
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4.16University of Delaware-2.056.4%1st Place
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2.07George Washington University-0.2840.2%1st Place
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3.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.6710.6%1st Place
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3.88Washington College-1.698.7%1st Place
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4.83Monmouth University-2.584.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 29.8% | 29.8% | 20.8% | 13.5% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Brendan van Riper | 6.4% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 25.4% | 22.8% |
| Colin Bohula | 40.2% | 29.0% | 18.5% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Finnegan McCue | 10.6% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 23.0% | 22.0% | 12.0% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 8.7% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 22.1% | 24.4% | 15.3% |
| Julia Marich | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 20.7% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.