Race 6B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emma Cowles 18.9% 15.0% 15.7% 12.8% 10.1% 9.6% 5.5% 5.7% 3.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2%
Blaire McCarthy 8.8% 11.3% 9.3% 10.9% 11.5% 8.8% 8.5% 9.3% 8.2% 6.3% 3.9% 2.8% 0.4%
Sydney Monahan 5.9% 7.5% 6.5% 9.1% 7.9% 8.5% 9.3% 9.8% 10.1% 10.7% 7.5% 5.9% 1.3%
Meredith Moran 11.4% 10.8% 11.6% 11.8% 9.7% 8.9% 8.8% 7.8% 8.1% 5.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5%
Brooke Schmelz 9.6% 9.1% 8.3% 9.9% 9.6% 8.3% 8.8% 10.5% 9.4% 6.3% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9%
Chloe Holder 8.0% 7.4% 8.7% 7.7% 9.3% 8.0% 10.5% 8.7% 9.5% 8.3% 7.5% 4.7% 1.7%
Madison Bashaw 9.9% 9.6% 8.8% 8.3% 9.0% 10.8% 9.1% 9.3% 8.5% 7.7% 4.6% 3.6% 0.8%
Cordelia Burn 11.0% 12.9% 11.6% 10.0% 9.8% 12.6% 9.8% 7.8% 5.9% 4.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3%
Emma Snead 7.9% 8.7% 9.4% 8.2% 8.6% 9.1% 11.1% 9.2% 8.5% 8.3% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3%
Grace Woodcock 4.1% 2.9% 3.3% 3.8% 4.8% 5.1% 5.5% 6.7% 10.2% 12.1% 14.9% 15.1% 11.5%
Christiana Scheibner 1.6% 1.2% 1.7% 2.7% 2.9% 3.7% 3.7% 4.2% 7.0% 8.8% 13.4% 20.0% 29.1%
Hailey Pemberton 1.5% 1.8% 3.0% 2.2% 4.2% 4.4% 4.4% 5.5% 5.4% 9.2% 15.0% 19.9% 23.5%
Ashley Arruda 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 2.2% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 10.0% 13.1% 19.2% 28.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.