Race 7B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Schmelz 7.4% 9.5% 9.2% 9.9% 7.9% 9.7% 8.6% 10.4% 8.7% 8.8% 5.7% 3.2% 1.0%
Emma Cowles 19.0% 15.5% 16.5% 12.0% 10.6% 8.5% 6.0% 5.3% 3.2% 1.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Meredith Moran 10.6% 11.4% 10.6% 11.5% 10.5% 11.4% 9.4% 7.9% 5.7% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.2%
Christiana Scheibner 1.6% 1.4% 1.1% 2.9% 3.1% 2.5% 4.3% 4.2% 4.6% 9.2% 12.2% 18.6% 34.3%
Chloe Holder 7.5% 7.8% 8.5% 8.0% 8.8% 7.8% 9.0% 10.2% 10.1% 8.9% 7.3% 4.4% 1.7%
Blaire McCarthy 11.2% 9.7% 10.1% 9.6% 10.7% 11.0% 8.7% 7.7% 8.3% 5.4% 4.3% 2.4% 0.9%
Madison Bashaw 9.5% 9.0% 10.0% 8.7% 9.5% 8.1% 10.6% 8.5% 8.4% 8.0% 5.6% 3.2% 0.9%
Grace Woodcock 3.3% 4.2% 3.3% 3.1% 4.3% 5.3% 6.9% 7.8% 10.0% 11.5% 13.8% 14.9% 11.6%
Sydney Monahan 7.3% 6.9% 7.0% 7.9% 8.1% 9.5% 8.4% 8.7% 10.9% 9.0% 8.0% 6.3% 2.0%
Hailey Pemberton 2.2% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 3.1% 3.4% 4.2% 6.3% 7.3% 9.4% 12.6% 20.3% 23.0%
Ashley Arruda 1.7% 2.2% 1.2% 3.8% 3.9% 3.4% 4.2% 5.5% 7.9% 8.2% 17.3% 18.3% 22.4%
Emma Snead 7.5% 8.0% 9.4% 8.3% 9.6% 8.2% 10.6% 8.7% 8.8% 8.5% 6.0% 5.0% 1.4%
Cordelia Burn 11.2% 11.6% 10.4% 11.6% 9.9% 11.2% 9.1% 8.8% 6.1% 5.8% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.