Race 8B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Schmelz 8.9% 7.6% 9.2% 10.1% 8.4% 8.3% 9.6% 10.9% 9.5% 7.5% 6.3% 2.7% 1.0%
Emma Cowles 18.3% 17.1% 13.9% 12.5% 12.1% 8.0% 6.6% 5.6% 2.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Chloe Holder 5.9% 7.9% 8.5% 8.6% 7.6% 9.0% 9.3% 9.7% 10.1% 10.5% 6.5% 4.9% 1.5%
Blaire McCarthy 9.2% 10.1% 11.1% 10.4% 9.2% 9.1% 10.0% 8.8% 9.3% 5.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.5%
Cordelia Burn 12.9% 12.8% 10.7% 11.9% 8.6% 11.3% 9.0% 6.6% 6.5% 5.0% 2.9% 1.6% 0.2%
Meredith Moran 11.1% 12.0% 11.7% 9.6% 11.8% 10.1% 8.4% 8.6% 5.5% 6.0% 4.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Grace Woodcock 4.4% 2.9% 3.9% 4.0% 5.3% 6.0% 4.2% 6.9% 9.2% 11.2% 15.7% 16.5% 9.8%
Emma Snead 8.7% 8.9% 8.5% 8.6% 9.4% 9.1% 9.9% 10.8% 9.7% 7.4% 5.2% 3.0% 0.8%
Madison Bashaw 8.5% 8.1% 9.4% 8.4% 10.6% 9.9% 10.2% 7.9% 8.6% 9.0% 5.1% 3.3% 1.0%
Sydney Monahan 7.7% 7.1% 6.7% 8.3% 9.1% 8.3% 8.9% 9.1% 9.5% 8.5% 9.2% 5.2% 2.4%
Christiana Scheibner 1.5% 1.3% 1.5% 3.0% 2.1% 3.5% 4.6% 5.1% 6.6% 7.9% 13.8% 19.9% 29.2%
Hailey Pemberton 1.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.5% 3.2% 4.2% 4.6% 4.5% 6.3% 10.0% 13.6% 20.8% 23.9%
Ashley Arruda 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 4.7% 5.5% 6.5% 9.8% 12.1% 18.5% 29.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.