Race 9B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Schmelz 7.9% 8.3% 9.7% 9.5% 8.9% 8.0% 9.5% 10.8% 9.4% 8.1% 5.2% 3.8% 0.9%
Emma Cowles 19.2% 15.1% 17.1% 11.7% 9.3% 8.9% 6.3% 5.7% 3.6% 1.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Chloe Holder 6.2% 7.1% 9.6% 8.0% 8.5% 8.2% 8.6% 10.9% 10.7% 8.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.6%
Emma Snead 8.0% 8.5% 8.0% 9.8% 9.6% 9.3% 9.2% 8.5% 8.8% 10.3% 6.0% 3.2% 0.8%
Grace Woodcock 4.0% 2.9% 3.3% 4.8% 5.0% 6.4% 5.4% 6.5% 8.5% 12.6% 15.3% 14.6% 10.7%
Madison Bashaw 9.2% 8.8% 9.1% 9.6% 9.0% 8.6% 11.5% 9.3% 7.4% 7.1% 6.2% 3.4% 0.8%
Meredith Moran 12.2% 12.7% 9.8% 10.8% 11.2% 10.0% 7.9% 8.0% 7.0% 4.6% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Blaire McCarthy 9.1% 10.6% 10.4% 9.4% 9.8% 11.0% 10.2% 10.1% 7.5% 4.9% 4.0% 2.4% 0.6%
Sydney Monahan 7.0% 6.2% 5.9% 8.4% 9.5% 7.7% 10.9% 8.0% 11.0% 9.8% 7.9% 5.2% 2.5%
Hailey Pemberton 2.0% 2.5% 2.7% 3.6% 2.0% 4.5% 4.1% 5.6% 7.8% 10.9% 13.6% 20.1% 20.6%
Cordelia Burn 12.7% 13.4% 10.5% 11.1% 11.5% 10.9% 8.7% 6.3% 6.0% 4.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.1%
Christiana Scheibner 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 2.4% 3.5% 3.8% 5.0% 5.6% 7.5% 11.7% 20.6% 33.7%
Ashley Arruda 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 1.7% 3.3% 3.0% 3.9% 5.3% 6.7% 9.4% 14.0% 19.6% 27.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.