Race 10B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emma Cowles 19.0% 16.4% 12.5% 14.7% 10.6% 8.3% 6.3% 5.1% 3.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Emma Snead 7.7% 8.0% 10.6% 7.4% 9.5% 9.9% 9.1% 9.4% 10.2% 8.2% 6.3% 2.6% 1.1%
Cordelia Burn 10.7% 12.8% 11.4% 10.7% 10.0% 11.1% 8.8% 8.3% 6.9% 4.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Madison Bashaw 9.8% 6.6% 9.6% 9.8% 10.1% 8.1% 11.1% 9.2% 6.8% 7.9% 7.2% 3.1% 0.7%
Meredith Moran 11.4% 13.4% 10.3% 11.1% 8.8% 8.9% 11.2% 8.3% 6.0% 5.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Blaire McCarthy 9.4% 10.5% 10.6% 10.7% 10.6% 10.5% 9.0% 6.7% 8.1% 6.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.3%
Sydney Monahan 7.9% 7.8% 7.3% 7.7% 7.8% 8.0% 10.2% 9.3% 10.5% 9.5% 7.3% 5.3% 1.4%
Chloe Holder 6.8% 8.5% 7.7% 7.9% 9.0% 9.1% 9.5% 10.4% 10.0% 9.4% 6.6% 3.8% 1.3%
Grace Woodcock 3.1% 3.5% 3.3% 4.7% 4.2% 4.1% 6.1% 6.7% 9.8% 12.4% 13.2% 15.9% 13.0%
Brooke Schmelz 9.2% 7.8% 9.1% 8.8% 11.1% 9.4% 7.6% 8.8% 8.9% 8.6% 5.9% 3.1% 1.7%
Hailey Pemberton 1.9% 1.9% 2.9% 2.7% 3.8% 5.5% 4.1% 6.8% 7.4% 10.0% 15.7% 18.5% 18.8%
Christiana Scheibner 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 3.4% 3.3% 4.8% 5.1% 8.1% 10.8% 20.8% 34.6%
Ashley Arruda 1.9% 1.5% 2.7% 1.8% 1.9% 3.7% 3.7% 6.2% 7.0% 8.2% 13.6% 21.4% 26.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.