Race 11B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emma Cowles 18.8% 15.5% 15.0% 13.3% 9.7% 9.6% 6.4% 5.8% 2.6% 1.7% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Meredith Moran 10.7% 10.9% 10.3% 12.3% 12.5% 9.3% 7.9% 7.3% 7.8% 5.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.5%
Cordelia Burn 10.5% 11.3% 13.8% 10.2% 8.8% 11.6% 9.2% 8.4% 6.1% 4.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Brooke Schmelz 8.4% 8.4% 8.2% 10.8% 9.2% 8.5% 9.8% 8.6% 9.4% 8.5% 6.5% 2.5% 1.2%
Madison Bashaw 9.3% 9.1% 9.7% 8.0% 10.4% 8.7% 9.0% 10.3% 8.2% 8.6% 4.7% 2.7% 1.3%
Chloe Holder 8.1% 6.9% 7.6% 8.7% 9.8% 8.5% 10.0% 8.3% 9.7% 9.1% 7.5% 4.5% 1.3%
Blaire McCarthy 11.0% 11.6% 8.6% 9.3% 10.7% 10.0% 8.8% 9.5% 7.6% 5.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.5%
Ashley Arruda 1.6% 2.8% 2.5% 2.3% 3.4% 2.6% 3.8% 4.8% 8.7% 8.8% 13.9% 21.9% 22.9%
Christiana Scheibner 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 2.0% 3.7% 2.2% 3.7% 4.1% 5.9% 6.8% 11.6% 22.0% 32.4%
Grace Woodcock 3.9% 3.3% 3.0% 3.5% 4.1% 6.3% 6.7% 6.8% 9.1% 12.1% 14.4% 13.5% 13.3%
Sydney Monahan 6.4% 8.4% 8.6% 7.8% 7.4% 10.3% 9.6% 10.4% 8.7% 8.8% 6.3% 4.9% 2.4%
Emma Snead 7.7% 8.1% 8.4% 9.1% 7.9% 8.3% 10.2% 10.7% 9.7% 8.9% 5.6% 4.1% 1.3%
Hailey Pemberton 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 4.1% 4.9% 5.0% 6.5% 10.8% 15.8% 19.2% 22.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.