Race 12B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Schmelz 9.2% 6.8% 8.6% 10.3% 9.8% 8.4% 9.3% 9.6% 9.2% 8.7% 6.6% 2.3% 1.2%
Cordelia Burn 11.3% 10.7% 11.9% 11.9% 10.8% 10.8% 8.6% 6.9% 7.6% 5.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.6%
Meredith Moran 9.3% 13.1% 11.5% 10.1% 10.0% 10.6% 10.2% 7.7% 5.9% 6.1% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5%
Emma Cowles 19.7% 15.8% 14.1% 12.8% 10.7% 9.3% 6.7% 4.6% 3.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Blaire McCarthy 10.8% 9.4% 11.3% 10.0% 9.3% 9.0% 9.2% 11.7% 6.7% 5.6% 3.8% 2.5% 0.7%
Madison Bashaw 8.8% 9.2% 8.9% 8.9% 10.0% 10.6% 9.0% 8.0% 9.0% 8.2% 5.2% 3.3% 0.9%
Christiana Scheibner 1.7% 2.6% 1.9% 1.7% 3.4% 2.1% 3.7% 5.8% 5.8% 5.9% 12.2% 22.5% 30.7%
Sydney Monahan 7.0% 7.4% 6.0% 9.0% 7.2% 8.9% 9.3% 11.0% 10.0% 10.8% 6.8% 5.1% 1.5%
Grace Woodcock 3.6% 3.5% 3.2% 3.5% 5.0% 4.8% 6.7% 5.3% 8.6% 11.7% 17.3% 14.9% 11.9%
Hailey Pemberton 2.4% 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.8% 4.7% 5.3% 8.1% 10.5% 14.2% 18.0% 22.4%
Chloe Holder 7.2% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 8.3% 11.2% 8.8% 8.6% 9.6% 8.9% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6%
Emma Snead 7.5% 8.4% 9.2% 8.1% 9.3% 8.5% 9.8% 10.6% 9.2% 7.1% 6.8% 4.2% 1.3%
Ashley Arruda 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 4.0% 4.9% 7.3% 9.0% 14.1% 20.4% 26.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.