Race 2C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Annie Buelt 8.8% 10.7% 11.9% 11.1% 9.6% 10.8% 9.5% 9.5% 5.9% 6.3% 3.1% 2.2% 0.6%
Lily Flack 3.3% 3.6% 4.7% 4.6% 6.7% 6.4% 6.9% 7.7% 10.4% 11.8% 11.9% 13.2% 8.8%
Mia Nicolosi 31.8% 21.2% 16.8% 12.2% 6.4% 5.9% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Krim 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 3.7% 6.4% 4.1% 6.5% 6.9% 7.0% 11.8% 11.2% 18.3% 17.2%
Julia Wyatt 7.2% 10.3% 9.8% 10.0% 10.4% 9.1% 8.6% 10.7% 7.7% 6.6% 5.2% 3.5% 0.9%
Annika Fedde 7.5% 9.3% 7.9% 10.8% 9.9% 10.6% 10.6% 8.9% 8.1% 5.9% 5.5% 3.6% 1.4%
Brielle Willoughby 16.3% 15.9% 14.7% 14.1% 10.4% 8.7% 7.4% 5.2% 4.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.3% 6.2% 6.4% 7.2% 6.8% 9.5% 9.6% 9.7% 10.2% 9.3% 10.0% 6.3% 4.5%
Aili Moffet 4.3% 4.5% 5.7% 4.9% 7.2% 6.3% 8.9% 8.9% 11.1% 9.2% 11.1% 10.8% 7.1%
Caylin Schnoor 4.2% 3.4% 5.0% 4.9% 6.2% 6.1% 9.2% 8.0% 7.8% 10.7% 13.3% 10.6% 10.6%
Mary McLauchlin 2.8% 3.7% 3.8% 5.0% 7.1% 7.2% 7.7% 8.4% 11.6% 10.8% 11.8% 11.1% 9.0%
Luciana Solorzano 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 1.7% 3.0% 3.6% 3.9% 4.1% 6.3% 8.0% 10.0% 15.9% 38.7%
Sophia Montgomery 6.2% 7.6% 8.5% 9.8% 9.9% 11.7% 8.3% 10.4% 9.3% 7.3% 6.0% 3.8% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.