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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+2.73vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+3.67vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.95+4.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.08+3.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.55+0.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+1.19vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.40+2.51vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.52-2.30vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.41+0.40vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.91-2.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-2.83vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.34-2.28vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.21-2.97vs Predicted
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14Brown University-0.07-2.80vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.54-2.65vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-1.91-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Brown University2.2821.3%1st Place
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5.67Roger Williams University1.6010.3%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University0.955.7%1st Place
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7.27Brown University1.086.6%1st Place
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5.74Roger Williams University1.559.8%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.075.9%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.403.4%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University1.5210.7%1st Place
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9.4Brown University0.415.0%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University0.916.5%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.784.7%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island0.343.4%1st Place
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10.03University of Rhode Island0.213.1%1st Place
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11.2Brown University-0.072.1%1st Place
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12.35University of Rhode Island-0.541.6%1st Place
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14.94University of Rhode Island-1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Stapleton | 21.3% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| reece schwartz | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Julian Dahiya | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor McHugh | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Vinogradov | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Judge | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 1.9% |
| Bo Angus | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Parker Moore | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Pierson Falk | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| Jacob Lentz | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 2.9% |
| William Baker | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 6.7% |
| Finneas Coldreck | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 26.8% | 12.5% |
| Leo Giard | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 11.5% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.