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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.47+1.76vs Predicted
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2George Washington University-0.28+0.40vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.29+0.82vs Predicted
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4Washington College-1.69+0.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.67-0.56vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.58-0.31vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.67-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Princeton University-0.4726.8%1st Place
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2.4George Washington University-0.2832.6%1st Place
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3.82University of Delaware-1.2912.8%1st Place
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4.39Washington College-1.697.6%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.678.0%1st Place
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5.69Monmouth University-2.583.7%1st Place
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4.49Rutgers University-1.678.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 26.8% | 23.1% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Colin Bohula | 32.6% | 26.5% | 20.2% | 12.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Seton Dill | 12.8% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 7.3% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 12.8% |
| Finnegan McCue | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 20.1% | 14.1% |
| Julia Marich | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Karolina Debniak | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 21.4% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.