Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bradley Milliken 7.8% 9.4% 8.1% 10.2% 10.9% 11.3% 11.1% 11.0% 9.1% 6.9% 3.7% 0.5%
Timothy Scanlon 7.3% 9.6% 11.1% 9.8% 9.4% 12.1% 10.1% 10.2% 10.1% 6.9% 2.9% 0.5%
Ben Greenfield 30.1% 22.8% 16.3% 11.2% 8.9% 5.0% 3.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 7.1% 8.2% 9.2% 11.0% 11.0% 10.1% 11.0% 12.7% 8.0% 7.2% 3.5% 1.0%
Steven Drapcho 6.9% 8.0% 8.6% 10.7% 9.7% 9.8% 9.1% 10.3% 11.6% 9.0% 4.9% 1.4%
Conor Lodge 9.5% 7.6% 9.3% 9.9% 12.0% 10.3% 10.9% 11.4% 8.8% 6.5% 3.2% 0.6%
Matthew Schon 14.2% 15.6% 13.1% 12.8% 10.9% 9.8% 8.1% 7.3% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Christopher Hulse 2.7% 2.9% 4.3% 4.3% 4.4% 5.0% 7.1% 8.0% 12.0% 17.9% 21.2% 10.2%
Phoebe Sprague 6.7% 6.3% 10.4% 10.8% 10.7% 11.0% 11.2% 10.2% 10.9% 8.1% 3.2% 0.5%
Ryan Byrne 5.7% 6.9% 6.8% 6.8% 7.9% 10.4% 10.9% 10.7% 13.8% 11.8% 6.1% 2.2%
Chris Mangieri 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 1.3% 2.5% 3.0% 5.1% 4.1% 6.2% 13.8% 28.9% 30.8%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 4.9% 8.8% 21.3% 52.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.