Race 5C

stu-nelson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Annie Buelt 8.8% 9.5% 12.0% 12.8% 10.1% 9.0% 10.8% 8.6% 6.7% 5.9% 2.6% 2.4% 0.8%
Mia Nicolosi 31.3% 24.2% 15.3% 11.7% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Brielle Willoughby 14.5% 17.9% 13.4% 13.2% 11.9% 10.1% 6.6% 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Aili Moffet 3.1% 4.3% 6.6% 6.0% 6.4% 7.9% 9.2% 7.3% 10.4% 11.3% 9.6% 11.3% 6.6%
Lily Flack 3.6% 3.5% 5.5% 4.9% 6.3% 7.4% 7.0% 7.8% 8.9% 10.9% 13.1% 11.6% 9.5%
Annika Fedde 8.7% 7.8% 8.3% 10.2% 10.8% 10.9% 9.7% 8.4% 8.6% 7.3% 4.5% 3.7% 1.1%
Julia Wyatt 8.7% 7.6% 10.3% 8.7% 9.1% 10.5% 10.4% 10.7% 7.1% 7.7% 5.2% 3.1% 0.9%
Caylin Schnoor 3.9% 3.7% 4.8% 5.0% 6.3% 5.8% 7.9% 9.1% 9.7% 11.7% 11.5% 11.1% 9.5%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.9% 4.6% 5.9% 7.6% 7.6% 7.5% 9.0% 10.7% 10.3% 9.0% 8.8% 9.5% 4.6%
Mary McLauchlin 3.0% 4.7% 3.9% 4.5% 5.4% 7.1% 7.2% 8.6% 8.7% 10.5% 12.9% 12.4% 11.1%
Lauren Krim 2.1% 2.4% 4.0% 3.9% 5.4% 4.7% 5.6% 7.9% 9.7% 9.8% 14.3% 14.6% 15.6%
Luciana Solorzano 1.1% 1.3% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 4.0% 5.3% 6.2% 6.5% 9.8% 16.3% 39.0%
Sophia Montgomery 6.3% 8.5% 8.1% 8.7% 10.6% 10.9% 9.8% 9.7% 8.9% 7.4% 6.2% 3.7% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.