Race 7C

stu-nelson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 15.7% 16.2% 14.7% 12.5% 12.2% 9.2% 8.1% 4.7% 2.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 3.4% 4.5% 4.2% 4.7% 6.3% 6.8% 8.2% 7.6% 10.2% 12.9% 12.0% 10.0% 9.2%
Mia Nicolosi 30.3% 21.9% 18.4% 12.3% 5.9% 6.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Flack 2.8% 2.9% 4.7% 5.7% 6.2% 6.8% 6.8% 7.8% 10.1% 10.4% 12.1% 13.8% 9.9%
Lauren Krim 3.1% 2.8% 2.9% 3.7% 5.5% 5.2% 5.3% 7.0% 9.1% 9.5% 12.2% 16.4% 17.3%
Annie Buelt 9.5% 10.7% 10.7% 11.2% 11.8% 11.3% 8.6% 7.8% 7.2% 4.6% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6%
Aili Moffet 4.9% 4.8% 5.6% 6.4% 6.1% 7.6% 8.6% 7.6% 10.4% 11.3% 11.6% 9.2% 5.9%
Annika Fedde 7.4% 9.1% 8.9% 9.3% 9.7% 10.7% 9.8% 12.4% 7.6% 6.1% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.1% 4.9% 6.6% 6.6% 7.1% 6.2% 10.3% 10.3% 10.4% 8.5% 9.7% 9.3% 5.0%
Julia Wyatt 7.6% 9.5% 9.0% 9.9% 10.3% 10.2% 9.7% 8.6% 8.6% 6.3% 5.2% 4.1% 1.0%
Mary McLauchlin 2.6% 3.9% 4.0% 5.7% 6.3% 6.5% 8.0% 9.1% 9.4% 12.2% 11.2% 11.6% 9.5%
Luciana Solorzano 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 3.0% 3.7% 3.7% 4.7% 5.6% 7.1% 10.7% 16.3% 38.7%
Sophia Montgomery 6.2% 7.5% 8.8% 9.7% 9.6% 9.8% 10.4% 10.9% 7.8% 8.5% 5.2% 4.1% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.