Race 8C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mia Nicolosi 30.7% 22.6% 16.3% 11.9% 8.3% 5.2% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Annie Buelt 9.6% 9.4% 11.7% 10.5% 11.8% 10.9% 8.9% 8.7% 7.4% 5.4% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
Julia Wyatt 6.5% 9.0% 8.6% 10.2% 9.6% 10.7% 11.0% 10.1% 8.3% 6.9% 5.0% 3.0% 1.1%
Caylin Schnoor 3.1% 3.1% 5.0% 5.2% 7.0% 6.3% 8.4% 8.1% 9.0% 9.7% 13.0% 12.9% 9.2%
Brielle Willoughby 16.5% 17.2% 12.9% 13.1% 11.6% 10.4% 6.5% 5.1% 2.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Lauren Krim 2.5% 2.6% 3.9% 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 7.3% 6.7% 7.2% 11.0% 14.3% 15.0% 17.3%
Mary McLauchlin 4.4% 3.8% 4.5% 4.6% 6.4% 5.0% 6.8% 10.0% 7.3% 11.3% 12.6% 13.5% 9.8%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.7% 6.2% 5.6% 7.8% 6.5% 8.3% 9.0% 10.6% 11.1% 10.0% 8.3% 7.4% 4.5%
Lily Flack 3.2% 4.7% 4.3% 4.7% 5.4% 6.0% 6.3% 9.0% 9.9% 11.5% 10.7% 13.1% 11.2%
Annika Fedde 8.4% 6.7% 10.3% 10.6% 9.9% 10.7% 8.6% 8.3% 8.2% 7.8% 5.7% 3.3% 1.5%
Aili Moffet 3.4% 4.9% 5.6% 7.7% 6.7% 8.2% 9.3% 8.3% 11.8% 9.9% 10.5% 8.9% 4.8%
Luciana Solorzano 1.1% 1.5% 2.6% 1.7% 1.8% 4.0% 4.7% 4.5% 5.9% 6.3% 10.1% 17.2% 38.6%
Sophia Montgomery 5.9% 8.3% 8.7% 8.5% 10.8% 9.8% 10.9% 9.1% 10.5% 7.2% 5.4% 3.6% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.