Race 9C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Annie Buelt 9.1% 11.1% 9.6% 13.2% 9.4% 11.8% 9.8% 7.9% 7.9% 4.0% 3.4% 2.1% 0.7%
Lily Flack 2.7% 3.9% 4.3% 6.1% 6.4% 5.1% 6.5% 9.7% 9.6% 11.7% 11.5% 13.0% 9.5%
Julia Wyatt 6.6% 8.2% 10.5% 9.1% 10.9% 10.6% 8.9% 9.7% 10.3% 5.2% 5.8% 3.2% 1.0%
Annika Fedde 6.9% 8.1% 9.7% 9.4% 11.6% 10.5% 8.7% 9.2% 7.3% 9.2% 4.8% 3.7% 0.9%
Aili Moffet 4.5% 5.2% 5.5% 5.4% 6.6% 8.6% 8.6% 9.3% 9.3% 10.3% 10.9% 9.5% 6.3%
Mia Nicolosi 32.0% 22.9% 15.6% 11.6% 7.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Brielle Willoughby 16.8% 14.3% 15.5% 13.5% 11.2% 9.1% 7.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Luciana Solorzano 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 2.3% 3.6% 3.1% 5.1% 6.1% 7.8% 11.3% 17.2% 35.0%
Caylin Schnoor 3.6% 4.8% 4.2% 3.9% 6.6% 6.8% 6.7% 7.8% 9.4% 12.4% 10.8% 13.0% 10.0%
Lauren Krim 2.9% 3.4% 2.8% 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 7.0% 7.6% 8.1% 11.1% 10.9% 16.0% 18.6%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.6% 5.7% 6.7% 8.0% 7.0% 9.8% 9.6% 9.7% 10.1% 9.3% 9.8% 5.9% 3.8%
Mary McLauchlin 2.5% 3.8% 4.0% 4.2% 6.5% 5.7% 8.4% 6.7% 9.0% 9.9% 14.8% 11.6% 12.9%
Sophia Montgomery 6.4% 6.9% 9.1% 9.3% 10.2% 9.2% 11.8% 9.9% 9.0% 7.2% 5.2% 4.5% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.