Race 10C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 15.6% 16.4% 13.2% 14.5% 11.8% 9.8% 7.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Mia Nicolosi 32.1% 23.2% 16.6% 11.8% 7.7% 3.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Annie Buelt 8.1% 10.2% 12.7% 9.7% 10.0% 11.4% 10.4% 9.6% 6.1% 5.9% 4.0% 1.1% 0.8%
Julia Wyatt 7.0% 8.5% 8.5% 10.7% 12.5% 8.7% 8.3% 10.7% 7.5% 8.7% 5.2% 2.1% 1.6%
Lily Flack 3.7% 4.1% 4.4% 5.6% 5.9% 6.4% 7.2% 8.6% 8.9% 10.8% 11.7% 12.9% 9.8%
Mary McLauchlin 3.8% 3.2% 4.2% 5.9% 5.2% 6.5% 8.5% 6.3% 10.9% 10.5% 11.7% 13.2% 10.1%
Aili Moffet 5.3% 3.8% 6.8% 6.5% 5.4% 7.8% 7.5% 8.5% 11.8% 9.9% 10.3% 9.8% 6.6%
Annika Fedde 7.7% 8.7% 8.5% 8.8% 9.3% 11.6% 11.4% 11.8% 6.5% 5.5% 5.3% 3.8% 1.1%
Caylin Schnoor 3.3% 4.4% 5.5% 4.0% 5.0% 6.7% 8.1% 8.1% 9.9% 10.1% 12.3% 11.6% 11.0%
Luciana Solorzano 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 3.5% 4.9% 5.2% 8.2% 10.4% 16.9% 36.6%
Lauren Krim 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 4.1% 5.9% 6.2% 5.1% 7.8% 9.5% 9.9% 12.3% 16.1% 15.7%
Lucija Ruzevic 3.7% 5.6% 5.3% 7.0% 8.7% 7.5% 9.0% 8.9% 10.4% 10.8% 9.6% 8.9% 4.6%
Sophia Montgomery 6.1% 7.6% 9.2% 9.1% 9.8% 10.0% 11.6% 8.6% 9.4% 8.0% 5.4% 3.1% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.