Race 11C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mia Nicolosi 29.9% 22.7% 18.2% 10.8% 8.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aili Moffet 4.1% 4.5% 4.5% 6.7% 6.7% 7.7% 8.0% 10.4% 9.4% 10.0% 12.1% 9.6% 6.3%
Brielle Willoughby 15.2% 17.1% 12.7% 13.9% 10.3% 11.4% 7.1% 4.9% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Lily Flack 2.9% 2.8% 4.8% 5.3% 7.4% 6.5% 7.2% 7.9% 9.0% 10.8% 11.2% 13.6% 10.6%
Annika Fedde 7.8% 8.5% 10.1% 8.9% 10.5% 9.7% 8.4% 10.2% 9.7% 6.8% 4.8% 3.2% 1.4%
Annie Buelt 10.3% 10.1% 11.2% 10.8% 12.1% 9.7% 9.9% 8.8% 5.7% 5.1% 3.6% 1.5% 1.2%
Caylin Schnoor 5.3% 3.2% 4.2% 5.2% 6.5% 7.0% 7.3% 7.7% 10.1% 10.8% 12.8% 11.2% 8.7%
Lauren Krim 1.9% 3.6% 3.0% 3.6% 4.2% 4.2% 6.9% 7.3% 7.7% 11.4% 12.5% 18.1% 15.6%
Luciana Solorzano 1.3% 1.9% 3.1% 2.4% 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 3.7% 6.1% 7.7% 9.8% 16.5% 38.6%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.6% 5.6% 4.0% 8.1% 7.2% 9.8% 9.5% 9.7% 7.5% 10.6% 9.5% 7.7% 5.2%
Mary McLauchlin 3.0% 3.7% 5.3% 5.2% 5.9% 5.5% 8.5% 9.0% 11.8% 9.7% 11.5% 11.2% 9.7%
Julia Wyatt 7.0% 7.6% 9.5% 10.6% 8.0% 10.4% 10.6% 10.0% 8.8% 7.0% 5.6% 3.5% 1.4%
Sophia Montgomery 5.7% 8.7% 9.4% 8.5% 10.4% 10.3% 10.5% 9.0% 9.7% 7.3% 5.9% 3.4% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.