Race 12C

stu-nelson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lily Flack 3.4% 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 7.1% 8.7% 7.6% 7.9% 8.7% 10.3% 12.7% 13.2% 9.9%
Annie Buelt 8.7% 10.5% 11.3% 10.1% 11.5% 12.9% 8.1% 9.0% 5.7% 6.9% 2.9% 1.2% 1.2%
Annika Fedde 6.2% 8.8% 11.0% 8.2% 10.5% 9.6% 10.9% 8.9% 8.4% 7.9% 5.2% 3.3% 1.1%
Brielle Willoughby 14.3% 17.2% 15.5% 15.2% 9.6% 7.7% 7.8% 6.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Luciana Solorzano 1.7% 1.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.7% 2.9% 4.1% 6.0% 6.5% 6.8% 10.1% 16.3% 36.2%
Mia Nicolosi 33.8% 21.7% 15.7% 11.3% 7.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 4.1% 3.9% 4.8% 5.4% 6.7% 6.3% 6.8% 8.3% 9.5% 10.6% 12.0% 13.1% 8.5%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.6% 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 6.6% 8.7% 8.4% 11.5% 9.0% 11.4% 8.4% 7.7% 4.8%
Julia Wyatt 7.4% 8.2% 8.6% 10.8% 9.7% 11.3% 10.4% 7.8% 8.0% 6.9% 6.0% 3.6% 1.3%
Aili Moffet 4.9% 5.4% 3.9% 6.2% 6.5% 7.3% 9.7% 8.4% 11.2% 9.3% 10.6% 8.9% 7.7%
Mary McLauchlin 2.5% 4.0% 4.4% 6.8% 6.2% 5.3% 7.6% 8.9% 11.4% 9.7% 13.3% 10.8% 9.1%
Lauren Krim 1.4% 3.3% 2.8% 3.4% 4.8% 5.0% 6.5% 5.2% 8.5% 10.5% 11.7% 17.6% 19.3%
Sophia Montgomery 7.0% 6.3% 10.2% 9.0% 10.3% 9.9% 9.1% 10.7% 8.9% 7.7% 6.4% 3.7% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.