Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bradley Milliken 7.1% 10.1% 9.5% 9.9% 10.6% 10.5% 11.7% 11.1% 8.8% 6.7% 3.4% 0.6%
Conor Lodge 7.8% 9.6% 11.4% 10.2% 11.9% 9.3% 10.9% 9.4% 9.7% 6.4% 2.6% 0.8%
Matthew Schon 14.0% 13.4% 13.8% 13.8% 11.5% 10.4% 8.9% 6.5% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Ben Greenfield 29.8% 24.4% 15.8% 11.0% 7.2% 5.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Byrne 5.0% 5.7% 7.0% 8.3% 9.5% 9.9% 9.7% 9.1% 13.1% 11.8% 8.6% 2.3%
T. Max Bulger 8.2% 9.0% 8.2% 9.7% 10.3% 10.6% 12.1% 9.9% 10.1% 7.8% 3.7% 0.4%
Phoebe Sprague 7.6% 8.5% 8.9% 10.1% 9.9% 8.8% 10.0% 12.2% 9.1% 9.1% 4.2% 1.6%
Chris Mangieri 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 3.3% 3.1% 4.1% 5.0% 7.2% 12.4% 28.6% 29.1%
Christopher Hulse 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 6.4% 7.3% 10.6% 11.0% 19.4% 19.3% 10.4%
Steven Drapcho 7.4% 7.1% 8.8% 10.4% 9.7% 10.8% 9.9% 10.8% 11.1% 8.7% 4.3% 1.0%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.4% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 2.2% 2.7% 5.3% 8.1% 20.6% 53.2%
Timothy Scanlon 8.7% 7.5% 10.5% 9.5% 10.1% 12.2% 9.9% 10.6% 10.0% 6.8% 3.6% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.