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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.47+1.76vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-1.29+1.78vs Predicted
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3George Washington University-0.28-0.63vs Predicted
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4Washington College-1.69+0.47vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.67-0.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.67-1.56vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-2.58-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Princeton University-0.4725.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Delaware-1.2912.8%1st Place
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2.37George Washington University-0.2834.0%1st Place
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4.47Washington College-1.698.4%1st Place
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4.43Rutgers University-1.678.2%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.678.8%1st Place
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5.74Monmouth University-2.582.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 25.1% | 24.1% | 21.9% | 15.1% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Seton Dill | 12.8% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 6.3% |
| Colin Bohula | 34.0% | 26.6% | 19.3% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 14.6% |
| Karolina Debniak | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 19.9% | 14.5% |
| Finnegan McCue | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 19.9% | 14.3% |
| Julia Marich | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.