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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.47+1.53vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.46-0.42vs Predicted
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3Washington College-1.69+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-2.05+0.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.67-1.19vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.58-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Princeton University-0.4719.9%1st Place
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1.58George Washington University0.4659.4%1st Place
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3.86Washington College-1.697.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Delaware-2.054.3%1st Place
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3.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.677.0%1st Place
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4.85Monmouth University-2.582.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 19.9% | 35.0% | 24.9% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Ian Milko | 59.4% | 27.0% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 7.0% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 23.9% | 23.4% | 13.9% |
| Brendan van Riper | 4.3% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 27.1% | 26.6% |
| Finnegan McCue | 7.0% | 12.0% | 22.1% | 24.8% | 20.6% | 13.6% |
| Julia Marich | 2.5% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.