Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Byrne 5.3% 5.9% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 9.5% 10.0% 14.4% 12.0% 10.5% 8.0% 2.8%
Matthew Schon 12.2% 14.2% 13.9% 14.6% 12.4% 9.6% 9.0% 6.8% 4.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Bradley Milliken 9.0% 7.8% 10.8% 8.2% 9.6% 11.7% 12.1% 10.7% 9.7% 7.5% 2.3% 0.6%
Timothy Scanlon 6.9% 9.2% 10.4% 11.9% 10.7% 11.4% 10.4% 9.5% 8.1% 7.8% 3.2% 0.5%
Ben Greenfield 30.5% 21.9% 15.0% 12.7% 8.3% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 8.1% 10.7% 9.4% 8.3% 11.8% 11.9% 11.3% 8.2% 9.7% 6.6% 3.5% 0.5%
Phoebe Sprague 7.9% 8.7% 7.0% 9.9% 10.8% 9.1% 11.0% 11.0% 10.5% 7.9% 4.9% 1.3%
Steven Drapcho 7.6% 8.2% 8.8% 8.8% 10.7% 9.5% 10.6% 10.6% 10.0% 9.4% 4.6% 1.2%
T. Max Bulger 7.6% 7.6% 11.1% 11.0% 11.5% 11.9% 10.0% 10.2% 10.1% 5.9% 2.8% 0.3%
Christopher Hulse 2.8% 2.5% 4.0% 4.1% 3.7% 5.4% 7.1% 8.8% 11.6% 19.2% 19.4% 11.4%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 2.7% 2.5% 3.7% 4.7% 7.0% 22.5% 51.9%
Chris Mangieri 1.0% 2.2% 1.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 4.5% 8.2% 15.2% 28.1% 29.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.