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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.11+2.30vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.57+0.45vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39-0.33vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.19-0.50vs Predicted
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5Bates College-3.28+1.64vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.62-1.94vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.84-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Bates College-0.110.2%1st Place
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2.45Bowdoin College0.570.3%1st Place
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2.67University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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3.5Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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6.64Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
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4.06Middlebury College-0.620.1%1st Place
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5.38Bates College-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Stevenson | 17.2% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
| Preston Anderson | 30.1% | 26.8% | 22.1% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 24.8% | 25.7% | 22.4% | 15.7% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Frary | 14.8% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 23.0% | 20.3% | 9.4% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 12.2% | 80.0% |
| Joseph Gehl | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 29.3% | 15.8% | 2.8% |
| Mia Gates | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 50.5% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.