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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.57+1.42vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.19+1.55vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39-0.28vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.62+0.16vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.11-1.56vs Predicted
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6Bates College-3.28+1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Maine-2.59-0.34vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.84-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Bowdoin College0.570.3%1st Place
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3.55Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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2.72University of New Hampshire0.390.3%1st Place
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4.16Middlebury College-0.620.1%1st Place
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3.44Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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7.26Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Maine-2.590.0%1st Place
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5.8Bates College-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Anderson | 33.2% | 26.0% | 19.1% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 14.2% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 25.5% | 23.9% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gehl | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 26.2% | 17.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Harry Stevenson | 14.1% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 9.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 8.5% | 24.7% | 59.3% |
| Taylor Davis | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 15.2% | 39.8% | 30.2% |
| Mia Gates | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 14.7% | 34.2% | 26.6% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.