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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.19+2.43vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.62+2.04vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.57-0.58vs Predicted
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4Bates College-3.28+2.69vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39-2.32vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.84-0.51vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Bates College-0.190.2%1st Place
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4.04Middlebury College-0.620.1%1st Place
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2.42Bowdoin College0.570.3%1st Place
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6.69Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
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2.68University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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5.49Bates College-1.840.0%1st Place
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3.25Bates College-0.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 15.1% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 9.8% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Gehl | 8.1% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 29.8% | 14.7% | 2.2% |
| Preston Anderson | 31.2% | 26.4% | 20.7% | 14.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 14.0% | 80.0% |
| James Sullivan | 24.6% | 26.0% | 21.4% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Mia Gates | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 14.4% | 51.3% | 16.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 18.2% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 22.1% | 18.4% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.