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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.57+1.44vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.19+1.47vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.62+1.02vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.39-1.30vs Predicted
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5Bates College-3.28+1.65vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.84-0.52vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Bowdoin College0.570.3%1st Place
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3.47Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.02Middlebury College-0.620.1%1st Place
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2.7University of New Hampshire0.390.3%1st Place
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6.65Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
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5.48Bates College-1.840.0%1st Place
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3.24Bates College-0.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Anderson | 32.5% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Frary | 13.0% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 23.0% | 17.5% | 8.9% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Gehl | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 29.1% | 16.1% | 1.9% |
| James Sullivan | 25.2% | 24.8% | 21.3% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 5.0% | 13.2% | 78.9% |
| Mia Gates | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 14.6% | 50.5% | 17.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 17.9% | 17.2% | 18.7% | 22.7% | 17.0% | 6.0% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.