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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.85+2.53vs Predicted
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2Bates College-1.27+2.30vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.59+0.19vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College-0.43-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.44vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.71-0.91vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.38-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Bates College-0.850.2%1st Place
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4.3Bates College-1.270.1%1st Place
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3.19Bates College-0.590.2%1st Place
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2.96Bowdoin College-0.430.2%1st Place
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4.56University of New Hampshire-1.360.1%1st Place
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5.09Middlebury College-1.710.1%1st Place
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4.36Bates College-1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Small | 18.3% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
| Lila Schaefer | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 15.4% |
| Colby Green | 21.0% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 24.9% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Robert Caldwell | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 20.9% |
| Teo Flesher | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 33.3% |
| Gray Dinsel | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.