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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.59+2.16vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College-0.43+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-1.36+1.63vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.71+1.25vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.85-1.29vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.27-1.57vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.38-2.31vs Predicted
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8University of Maine-3.13-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Bates College-0.590.2%1st Place
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2.98Bowdoin College-0.430.3%1st Place
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4.63University of New Hampshire-1.360.1%1st Place
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5.25Middlebury College-1.710.1%1st Place
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3.71Bates College-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.43Bates College-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.69Bates College-1.380.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Maine-3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Green | 23.9% | 19.0% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 25.1% | 21.5% | 18.9% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Robert Caldwell | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 6.4% |
| Teo Flesher | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 12.1% |
| Kieran Small | 14.6% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 1.2% |
| Lila Schaefer | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 5.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 6.3% |
| Maeve Merkle-Scotland | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 14.3% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.