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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.85+2.55vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.59+1.16vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College-0.43-0.07vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.38+0.57vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.27-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.53vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.71-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Bates College-0.850.2%1st Place
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3.16Bates College-0.590.2%1st Place
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2.93Bowdoin College-0.430.2%1st Place
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4.57Bates College-1.380.1%1st Place
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4.37Bates College-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.47University of New Hampshire-1.360.1%1st Place
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4.95Middlebury College-1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Small | 17.9% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% |
| Colby Green | 21.7% | 18.7% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 24.9% | 22.6% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 8.9% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 19.6% |
| Lila Schaefer | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 16.1% |
| Robert Caldwell | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 19.1% |
| Teo Flesher | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.