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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.46+0.78vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.47+1.04vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-2.58+2.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.67+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.05+0.06vs Predicted
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6Washington College-1.69-1.41vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-0.71-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78George Washington University0.4650.9%1st Place
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3.04Princeton University-0.4716.5%1st Place
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5.85Monmouth University-2.581.7%1st Place
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4.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.675.3%1st Place
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5.06University of Delaware-2.054.2%1st Place
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4.59Washington College-1.695.2%1st Place
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3.12Villanova University-0.7116.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Milko | 50.9% | 28.3% | 13.6% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 16.5% | 23.3% | 24.5% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Julia Marich | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 20.5% | 49.1% |
| Finnegan McCue | 5.3% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 22.7% | 11.7% |
| Brendan van Riper | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 24.5% | 24.2% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 5.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 21.8% | 21.6% | 12.8% |
| Emily Amspacher | 16.1% | 21.6% | 24.2% | 18.6% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.