Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bradley Milliken 8.1% 8.7% 8.5% 9.6% 10.7% 11.9% 11.3% 11.2% 9.6% 5.8% 3.8% 0.8%
Ben Greenfield 28.9% 22.7% 16.8% 11.7% 9.3% 5.5% 3.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Steven Drapcho 7.5% 7.5% 9.2% 9.1% 7.8% 9.6% 10.8% 12.7% 11.7% 8.6% 4.3% 1.2%
Matthew Schon 11.1% 16.0% 13.5% 14.1% 11.6% 11.1% 7.9% 5.9% 5.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.2%
Phoebe Sprague 7.2% 7.5% 8.0% 9.3% 9.8% 12.4% 9.4% 12.2% 9.6% 8.5% 5.0% 1.1%
Timothy Scanlon 8.7% 9.0% 8.2% 9.9% 11.9% 10.8% 11.6% 8.4% 10.4% 6.9% 3.8% 0.4%
T. Max Bulger 8.8% 8.8% 9.7% 9.6% 10.4% 9.4% 12.6% 11.1% 7.3% 7.9% 3.1% 1.3%
Ryan Byrne 6.7% 5.9% 7.8% 8.9% 7.3% 8.6% 9.8% 10.7% 13.6% 11.6% 7.2% 1.9%
Conor Lodge 8.0% 8.8% 11.1% 10.4% 13.6% 11.0% 10.5% 9.8% 8.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.2%
Christopher Hulse 3.0% 2.5% 3.7% 3.8% 4.3% 5.8% 7.2% 8.9% 10.9% 19.2% 19.5% 11.2%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 4.0% 4.7% 7.7% 21.7% 52.1%
Chris Mangieri 0.8% 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 3.9% 7.8% 15.1% 28.7% 29.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.