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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+6.30vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.32vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.20+7.71vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.73+8.10vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+4.23vs Predicted
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62.64+2.57vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75+1.04vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-1.29vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.89-1.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.90vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.11-0.06vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.33vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.65-0.60vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.70-6.03vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.86-3.18vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-4.89vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.69-8.54vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.91-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.32Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.71Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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12.1George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.572.640.1%1st Place
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8.04Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.71Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.45Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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12.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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12.4Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.97Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.82Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.11Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.45Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Dana Haig | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 13.2% | 15.9% |
| Emily Allen | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 17.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.