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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+6.70vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+5.22vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+5.31vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+4.15vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+1.18vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65+6.60vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.69+1.28vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+3.97vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03+2.09vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.91vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-4.18vs Predicted
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122.64-3.11vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.20-2.75vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.86-2.53vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.11-4.27vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-6.63vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.91-5.30vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.73-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.22Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.31Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.6Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.09Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.892.640.1%1st Place
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10.25Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.47Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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11.7Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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12.19George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Allen | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 17.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 14.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Dana Haig | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.