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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.11+9.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.32vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+5.45vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+7.89vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+2.44vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07+0.77vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.69+1.37vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.30vs Predicted
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92.64-0.49vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.73+2.56vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.20-0.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.30vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-2.05vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.86-2.49vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.91-3.40vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.99-8.90vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.65-4.24vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.75-10.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.95University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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6.32Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.45Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.44Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.512.640.1%1st Place
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12.56George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.55Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.95Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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11.51Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.6Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.1Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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12.76Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.87Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Majernik | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 9.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 18.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.