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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+7.52vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+4.92vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+3.30vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.11+6.66vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+2.10vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75+2.05vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.89+0.47vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.70+0.16vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.73+3.34vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.20+0.65vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.96vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.65+0.93vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.11vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-3.27vs Predicted
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152.64-6.50vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-6.62vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.91-5.26vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.86-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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7.1Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.05Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.47Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.16Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.34George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.65Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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12.93Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.73Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.52.640.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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11.74Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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11.62Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.3% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Emily Allen | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 21.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 13.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
| Dana Haig | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.