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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+7.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+6.20vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+8.80vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.20+6.23vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+1.18vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.89+1.44vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.80+0.77vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.70+0.09vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03+2.08vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.07-3.08vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.11-0.18vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.34vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.65-0.65vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.99-7.10vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.73-2.78vs Predicted
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162.64-7.42vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.88vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.69-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.2Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.8Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.23Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.44Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.09Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.08Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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6.92Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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12.35Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.9Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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12.22George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.582.640.1%1st Place
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12.12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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12.18Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Emily Allen | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 16.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 15.6% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.8% |
| Morgan Sailer | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.