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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+7.42vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+4.90vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+8.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.89+3.40vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.45vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.20+4.39vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-0.82vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+2.89vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.65+3.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.48vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.99-3.78vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.32vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.11-2.42vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.75-6.26vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.69-2.65vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.80-8.12vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.73-4.61vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.70-9.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.77Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.4Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.39Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.89Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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12.58Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.22Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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12.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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7.74Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.35Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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12.39George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.02Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| Emily Allen | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 15.1% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Sailer | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 15.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.