← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.23+5.39vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.07+4.89vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.69+5.48vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.65+8.43vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.89+2.44vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.80+1.75vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University2.70+1.17vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.75-0.09vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.22vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.11+0.92vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.03+0.12vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.33vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University1.91-1.60vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University1.86-2.61vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University2.99-8.09vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-7.51vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University1.39-3.42vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University2.20-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.39Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.89Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
8.48Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
-
12.43Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
-
7.44Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
7.75U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
8.17Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.91Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
-
10.92University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
-
11.12Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
-
12.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
-
11.4Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
-
11.39Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
6.91Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
13.58George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
10.18Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Emily Allen | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 16.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 25.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.