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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.91+10.65vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+5.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+6.50vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+2.04vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20+5.21vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.70+2.16vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75+0.98vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.29vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.89-1.65vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03+1.28vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.69-2.57vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.11-0.97vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-6.40vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.65-1.77vs Predicted
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152.64-6.61vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.97vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.39-3.38vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.86-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.65Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.23Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.21Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.16Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.98Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.28Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.43Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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6.6Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.23Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.392.640.1%1st Place
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12.03St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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13.62George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.59Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.5% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.7% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 25.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.