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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+5.75vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.77vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+5.36vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+7.24vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+2.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+6.33vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.02+1.31vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.18-3.53vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.22-1.25vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.85-4.36vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-2.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.64vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.22-3.77vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-1.72vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.05-2.39vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.97-6.33vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.20-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Roger Williams University2.689.0%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island2.785.2%1st Place
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11.24Boston University1.142.6%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College2.386.7%1st Place
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12.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.5%1st Place
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8.31Boston College2.025.7%1st Place
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4.47Harvard University3.1817.7%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University2.226.6%1st Place
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5.64Yale University2.8512.7%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College2.385.9%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.7%1st Place
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9.23Brown University2.224.5%1st Place
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12.28Northeastern University1.071.8%1st Place
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12.61University of Vermont1.052.0%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University1.974.3%1st Place
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11.25Connecticut College1.202.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Derry | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 20.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.7% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Mason Stang | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 19.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 21.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.