Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Byrne 5.8% 6.3% 6.4% 8.3% 9.0% 10.2% 10.3% 11.9% 10.1% 12.6% 6.3% 2.8%
Ben Greenfield 31.4% 25.6% 14.2% 10.6% 8.4% 5.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Milliken 9.9% 8.7% 9.6% 10.6% 11.2% 10.1% 12.3% 10.4% 8.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.7%
T. Max Bulger 7.3% 9.1% 11.0% 11.7% 10.9% 10.6% 11.0% 10.1% 6.8% 7.0% 3.6% 0.9%
Phoebe Sprague 7.9% 8.5% 9.4% 11.0% 9.3% 10.0% 9.6% 10.1% 11.1% 7.0% 4.6% 1.5%
Steven Drapcho 8.0% 8.4% 7.9% 8.4% 11.6% 11.3% 10.0% 10.3% 10.2% 8.8% 4.0% 1.1%
Timothy Scanlon 10.3% 9.5% 11.5% 10.7% 10.8% 9.5% 9.8% 10.8% 8.9% 5.1% 2.4% 0.7%
Christopher Hulse 2.9% 4.4% 4.0% 3.7% 3.4% 7.0% 7.6% 8.0% 10.8% 16.8% 20.8% 10.6%
Conor Lodge 8.1% 10.0% 12.2% 12.6% 12.4% 10.5% 9.9% 9.4% 7.3% 5.5% 1.9% 0.2%
Chris Mangieri 1.2% 2.3% 2.7% 2.1% 2.1% 3.1% 4.0% 5.9% 9.5% 11.6% 25.8% 29.7%
Robert Lippincott 6.4% 6.2% 9.4% 8.2% 9.4% 10.3% 11.1% 9.8% 12.9% 9.0% 5.2% 2.1%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 2.3% 3.8% 10.4% 22.8% 49.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.