← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.23+5.37vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.03+9.37vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.69+5.50vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.89+3.38vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.20+5.28vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.91+5.62vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University1.86+4.76vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.28vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.75-1.02vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.70-1.49vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania2.11-0.12vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University2.99-4.61vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.07-6.41vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy2.80-6.44vs Predicted
-
152.64-6.54vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.89vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University1.73-4.52vs Predicted
-
18Jacksonville University1.65-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.37Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.37Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
-
8.5Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
-
7.38Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
10.28Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
-
11.62Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
-
11.76Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
-
7.98Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.51Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
10.88University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
-
7.39Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.59Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
7.56U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
8.462.640.1%1st Place
-
12.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
-
12.48George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
-
12.47Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 16.9% |
| Emily Allen | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.