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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+6.00vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.27vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+4.25vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+3.99vs Predicted
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52.64+3.46vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.03+5.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+2.31vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91+3.53vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.73+3.31vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.87vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.89-3.37vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.69-3.34vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.20-2.75vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.86-2.56vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.00vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.70-7.70vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.11-6.12vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.65-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.25Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.99Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.462.640.1%1st Place
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11.11Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.53Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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12.31George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.66Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.25Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.44Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.3Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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12.46Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Dana Haig | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% |
| Emily Allen | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.